Results Before Voting?
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The Analysis
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The various versions of the files downloaded from ECI website by Nalapat-Saraph on 6th, 7th and 11th May and the data were merged together along with the final results found on ECI site on June 2nd.
- The original excel spreadsheets have been maintained as Source Data.
- Candidates in every constituency were ranked as 1, 2 and 3 on the basis of the votes seen in ECI excel sheets on 6th, 7th and 11th May.
- Then the same candidates were ranked within each constituency based on the votes recorded on June 2nd spreadsheet by ECI.
Results
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- Out of 543 constituencies, we find 106 winning positions (rank 1) matched for all four dates,
- 80 candidates matched for the rank 2 and
- 59 for the rank 3.
- Furthermore, in 14 constituencies ranks 1, 2 and 3 matched among all 4 data sets.
- In 27 + 14 (41) constituencies ranks 1 and 2 matched among all data sets.
- In 5 +14 (19) constituencies ranks 1 and 3 matched among all data sets and
- in 7 + 14 (21) constituencies ranks 2 and 3 matched among all data sets.
- INC: AP-11; Raj-3;Aruna-1, Assa-2, Mah-3, Goa-1, Guj-3,Hary-3, Him-1, Karn-2, Ker-1, TN-2, MP-1, Oris-1, Punj-2, Del-1,Uttarkh-1, UP-5 [44]
- NCP: Mah-5, Megh-1 [6]
- BJP: Mah-1, Bih-1,Guj-1, Assa-1, Him-1, Karn-5, MP-3, Punj-1,WB-1, Chattis-3, Jhar-1, UP-3 [22]
- JD(U): Bih-3 [3]
- INDEP: Bih-1, Zhar-1 [2]
- AUDF- Assa-1
- AGP: Assa-1
- JKN: JK-1
- CPM: Ker-1, WB-2 [3]
- DMK: TN-2
- AIDMK: TN-2
- NagaPP: Naga-1
- SAkalD: Pun-2
- BSP-UP: UP-9 [9]
- SP: UP-2 [2]
- RLD: UP-1 [1]
- SS: Mah-3 [3]
- TrinaCg:WB-1
--Spmanalysis 09:07, 21 July 2009 (UTC)